The Official Blog of Matthew L. Adler

The Official Blog of Matthew L. Adler

Posts Tagged ‘Brickell’

Is Class B the new Class A?

Thursday, November 19th, 2009

The historical norm in office investment is a flight to quality. Typically, a premium has been paid for brochure quality assets with “credit” tenants. At the top of the last cycle, I would estimate a minimum of a 150 basis point cap rate premium was paid for Class A assets over B.

Adler Group’s core competencies are the acquisition and operation of multi-tenant, management intensive Class B office and flex space. For decades we have been on the front lines, working with investors to optimize the value of these assets. We have always believed that focusing on smaller, entrepreneurial tenants, allows us to more consistently maintain higher occupancies and raise rents. In addition, we believe our credit risk is mitigated by the size and diversity of these tenants. In our properties, typically there is not a single tenant whose default or non-renewal would cripple our occupancy and therefore inhibit our ability to pay debt service. In addition, we believe that in this current economic climate, tenants will gravitate to Class B space as a cost saving measure.

Smaller entrepreneurial tenants tend to be more rooted to their location. Often, large national companies make decisions having little to do with local operations. For example, in difficult times, national companies are more likely to merge their Orlando and Tampa offices into one. Smaller tenants tend to live within a few miles of their office and employ multiple family members. Their size makes it harder to downsize their space. Large companies can have layoffs and shrink from 20,000 to 10,000 square feet. It is hard to downsize when you only lease 2,000 feet and your employees are relatives.

I am not saying that we are without defaults or downsizing in our portfolio but generally we have seen our entrepreneurial tenants fight on because they have limited options. Their business is literally what puts food on their family’s table.

Today, there is growing awareness of the advantages of Class B office within the investment community. Inherently, new office buildings are Class A. In Downtown Miami and Brickell there is over 1.5 million square feet of new office towers set for completion in the coming months. New buildings, typically do not encourage smaller tenancies and therefore have less effect on Class B buildings. In addition, there is less allure to large “credit tenants”. Some of the largest and most prestigious companies in the Country have gone into bankruptcy’s causing additional Class A vacancy.

Finally, the amount of money one needs to invest in Class A leasing is discouraging investors, who are currently more focused on immediate cash flow than they have in the past. Class A office tenants generally demand significant tenant improvement allowances to build out their space, while Class B tenants require far less improvement allowance. In our space we often just provide new paint and carpet. This makes the recurring annual reinvestment in the space far less on a percentage basis.

There will always be an investment market for Class A office. However, I believe the premium many were willing to pay for Class A is diminishing and there is starting to be a recognition to the benefits of Class B. The one challenge with Class B office space is it remains management intensive, but strong operators with expertise can provide an attractive return.

Miami’s Office Bubble

Friday, October 23rd, 2009

A few weeks ago the developers of a new Class A office development, 1450 Brickell Avenue announced the signing of their first tenant, Bilzin Sumberg Baena Price & Axelrod LLP.  The announcement of the 80,000 square foot transaction was met with great enthusiasm in the real estate community as it was the largest lease in the Downtown/Brickell Avenue market this year.

I agree, the signing of this lease is cause for some optimism.  Clearly, the long term commitment of a major local law firm to a new development is a positive sign. It is an indication that companies are gaining confidence in the future and are able to make lengthy future commitments.

However, despite the positive feelings there is still great cause for concern.  The other reality of this lease is when Bilzin Sunberg moves in January 2011 they will be vacating 100,000 square feet at the Wachovia Financial Center.  The downtown office market will now have 20,000 square feet of negative absorption as the net effect of this transaction.

There has not been much speculative commercial development in this country.  That is why I believe in general the commercial market will fare better than the residential market has in this cycle.  One of the major exceptions to where new development has occurred is in central business district (CBD) markets such as Miami.  Downtown Miami and Brickell Avenue have three major office developments in progress including 1450 Brickell set to be delivered in the next 18 months.  The addition of more than 1.5 million square to the market is set to push already high vacancy rates even higher. Most experts believe Downtown Miami’s office vacancy will soon be in excess of 15%.

My concern is how does this community fill that space?  As we just discussed, the only new tenant at 1450 Brickell is an existing tenant in the market that is downsizing.  Similarly, one of the other new developments in the market, the 753,200 square foot Met 2 has three signed tenants that are also existing tenants in the market which will move from older buildings.  If all we are going to do is reshuffle our existing tenant base, we can not expect to absorb this space.

In order to have positive absorption three things will need to happen; we need existing tenants to grow, we need companies to move to the market and we need new business to start.  Until those things occur we can not expect occupancies in Class A, Downtown Miami office space to increase.  So while the Bilzin Sumberg lease is cause for some optimism we have a long way to go before truly good news in CBD office.