The Official Blog of Matthew L. Adler

The Official Blog of Matthew L. Adler

Posts Tagged ‘Adler Group’

Some Thoughts on 2010 — Part 1

Tuesday, December 22nd, 2009

2010 is almost here! I pride myself on being an optimist and always looking for the good in life.  Therefore, I am heading into the new year with hope that even though 2009 was a difficult year for everyone, I think 2010 will be an improvement.  I am not suggesting that the economy will come out of this crisis overnight, but I do think that we have bottomed and that in 2010 will see the start of a recovery.

This is the first in a series on what to expect in 2010.  The post below was written by Joel Levy. Joel is the Vice Chairman and former President of the Adler Group.  He has worked with my family for over 25 years and has been a significant mentor to me.  Having managed dozens of commercial real estate acquisitions and dispositions over three decades, Joel is uniquely qualified to offer thoughts for the new year. I intend on posting my thoughts and other guest posts over the coming weeks.

Some Thoughts on 2010 — Part 1

By Joel Levy

There are no lack of issues to discuss about commercial real estate and countless opinions as what to expect in 2010. In Matthew’s previous blogs, there has been a lot written about “Distress”, whether it be distressed assets, debt, owners, lenders, etc. etc. I however want to focus on one of the areas Adler Group intends to emphasize in the year ahead.

In 2009 we attempted to acquire properties from certain sellers who we did not believe were distressed, but who appeared ready to shed assets for various strategic reasons. It could have been a need to raise cash, a desire to sell an asset not core to their business or a desire to exit from a particular market. Let me report that as of now we have not been successful in this pursuit. Why you ask? It is really simple, an insurmountable spread between bid and ask. However, we now think that a narrowing of this spread is on the horizon. Are we being too optimistic or naïve? I hope not.

We have heard many opinions from various real estate professionals, and based on their and our own opinions we look to the new year with some optimism as to the narrowing of the pricing differential. Some of the issues are as follows:

  1. There is a very large amount of capital that has been on the sidelines or is currently being raised. We are believe that buyers will lower their return expectations and be more active acquirers.
  2. All signs are pointing to their being more available debt at better rates and slightly increased loan to value ratios.
  3. Sellers will be under more pressure to dispose of assets to fulfill their strategic goals as noted above. Many of the assets have recently been marked to market, making it easier to justify disposing of assets at lower prices.
  4. Although gradual in its impact, economic signs are improving and there will be an ability to underwrite a bit more positively.

While we intend to continue to pursue this path, we will also be in a pack of investors looking at distressed assets and debt.

Stay tuned for another interesting ride in the year ahead and more posts about the new year.

Is Class B the new Class A?

Thursday, November 19th, 2009

The historical norm in office investment is a flight to quality. Typically, a premium has been paid for brochure quality assets with “credit” tenants. At the top of the last cycle, I would estimate a minimum of a 150 basis point cap rate premium was paid for Class A assets over B.

Adler Group’s core competencies are the acquisition and operation of multi-tenant, management intensive Class B office and flex space. For decades we have been on the front lines, working with investors to optimize the value of these assets. We have always believed that focusing on smaller, entrepreneurial tenants, allows us to more consistently maintain higher occupancies and raise rents. In addition, we believe our credit risk is mitigated by the size and diversity of these tenants. In our properties, typically there is not a single tenant whose default or non-renewal would cripple our occupancy and therefore inhibit our ability to pay debt service. In addition, we believe that in this current economic climate, tenants will gravitate to Class B space as a cost saving measure.

Smaller entrepreneurial tenants tend to be more rooted to their location. Often, large national companies make decisions having little to do with local operations. For example, in difficult times, national companies are more likely to merge their Orlando and Tampa offices into one. Smaller tenants tend to live within a few miles of their office and employ multiple family members. Their size makes it harder to downsize their space. Large companies can have layoffs and shrink from 20,000 to 10,000 square feet. It is hard to downsize when you only lease 2,000 feet and your employees are relatives.

I am not saying that we are without defaults or downsizing in our portfolio but generally we have seen our entrepreneurial tenants fight on because they have limited options. Their business is literally what puts food on their family’s table.

Today, there is growing awareness of the advantages of Class B office within the investment community. Inherently, new office buildings are Class A. In Downtown Miami and Brickell there is over 1.5 million square feet of new office towers set for completion in the coming months. New buildings, typically do not encourage smaller tenancies and therefore have less effect on Class B buildings. In addition, there is less allure to large “credit tenants”. Some of the largest and most prestigious companies in the Country have gone into bankruptcy’s causing additional Class A vacancy.

Finally, the amount of money one needs to invest in Class A leasing is discouraging investors, who are currently more focused on immediate cash flow than they have in the past. Class A office tenants generally demand significant tenant improvement allowances to build out their space, while Class B tenants require far less improvement allowance. In our space we often just provide new paint and carpet. This makes the recurring annual reinvestment in the space far less on a percentage basis.

There will always be an investment market for Class A office. However, I believe the premium many were willing to pay for Class A is diminishing and there is starting to be a recognition to the benefits of Class B. The one challenge with Class B office space is it remains management intensive, but strong operators with expertise can provide an attractive return.